Showing posts with label Terror and Trade series. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Terror and Trade series. Show all posts

The Impact of Terrorism on World Trade

Part 2 of a 2-part series

After four years of silence, last week Abdul Qadeer Khan, the father of Pakistan’s atomic bomb, gave his first interview since being placed under house arrest. A now unrepentant Khan repudiates the televised tearful confession he made back in 2004 in which he admitted to smuggling nuclear equipment and technology in shipping containers to such states as to Libya, Iran and North Korea. The resurrection of Abdul Qadeer Khan from obscurity raises anew the question of how safe is the world's trade supply chain--and specifically shipping containers--against a determined terrorist?
In my last post, I introduced the Container Security Initiative--U.S. Customs' response to the threat that a shipping container could be used by terrorists to transport a nuclear bomb to the United States. CSI is meant to "extend [the United States'] zone of security outward," by stationing U.S. Customs agents in ports all over the world (with consent of the host) where they can work with officials to identify suspect containers and inspect them before they ever arrive on U.S. shores. Opting to implement the program in three stages, Customs initially excluded from CSI membership all but the top twenty "megaports" —those ports that send the largest volume of container traffic to the United States. In Phase II of the project, ports of political or strategic significance can join, provided they meet certain criteria. Only in Phase III will ports that require technical assistance and capacity building—those ports in developing countries—be considered for CSI membership. The net result was that for years, only European and a few Asian ports were CSI-certified. Only recently have ports in Africa (South Africa was the first), the Caribbean and Latin America been added to the program. (map credit)
Membership in CSI comes with significant benefits. The idea is that containers arriving from CSI ports are deemed "safe" and ordinarily will not be subject to additional inspection in the United States. They receive "head of the line" privileges. Moreover, if the unthinkable happened and the nation's seaports were closed because of a terrorist threat, CSI-containers would again receive preferential treatment once normal business resumed.
The problem with CSI first and foremost is that the U.S. government itself acknowledges the nuke-in-the-box scenario, around which CSI is designed, is unlikely to occur. A report by the Government Accountability Office found "the likelihood of containers being used to move WMDs to the United States is low." Given that reality, it seems difficult to justify a measure that so significantly changes the trading system to the detriment of developing countries. By delaying admission of developing countries in the program until the last stage, Customs has created disincentives for businesses to source their supply from those countries. For a company, the risk of sourcing goods from a country without a CSI-certified port may be too great given the potential for such goods to stagnate at a U.S. border awaiting inspection (even a single day’s delay at Customs adds almost 1% to the cost of goods).
In a much longer piece on this question, I argue CSI violates World Trade Organization rules because it provides a benefit to some members and not other, which is contrary to the most-favored-nation requirement of GATT Article I. Although GATT Article XXI provides a general exception for national security reasons, I argue the national security exception must be read in light of a "development dimension." In other words, even as rich countries take measures to respond to terrorism and other security concerns, they must still consider the impact such measures are likely to have on developing countries.
The truth is, we cannot ensure our security without ensuring the security of others. It is far better to create a system where we raise world standards on security without relegating developing countries once again to the periphery.
In closing, I wanted to let the IntLawGrrls community know I recently launched my own all-trade-all-the-time website to talk about free trade related issues in a balanced, smart and fair way. I look forward to a long and active run with this blog, but the website gives me the opportunity to write on some of these issues in much greater depth (although not as deep as a law review article!) Check it out at http://www.tradevoices.com/

(Cross posted at Conglomerate, a business-law-economics-society blog)

The Impact of Terrorism on World Trade

Part 1 of a 2-part series

You probably have never given much thought to shipping containers, but you really should. Those narrow, windowless 40 x 8 feet steel structures, ubiquitous in port cities, revolutionized business. In fact, it would not be too much of a stretch to say that without shipping containers globalization would not have been possible. How? Before Malcolm McLean invented the shipping container in the 1950s, goods were individually and manually loaded onto a ship piece by piece in "break bulk," an expensive process that often took days to complete and subjected goods to theft or breakage. Worse yet, when they arrived at their destination port, the process had to begin all over again. The shipping container allowed goods to be packed at the place of production; later, the same container would be transported by rail or truck to a seaport where it would be hoisted by crane onto a ship and delivered to the ultimate consumer.
McLean’s invention did for maritime shipping what Henry Ford’s assembly line did for the automobile industry—making the system faster, more efficient and cost effective. Businesses could now cheaply export (and import) computers, bicycles, clothing, toys, and all manner of goods. And that, in part, led to the globalization explosion. Today, over 90 % of world trade in goods moves by container, but that’s not all it brings.
Only one month after the September 11 attacks, the shipping container was transformed from a link in the trade supply chain to a possible means of exporting terrorism. On October 26, 2001, Italian officials intercepted Rizik Amid Farid, an Egyptian national and reputed Al-Qaeda member, in a container bound for Canada. Farid carried with him a Canadian passport, along with several airport security passes, and an aircraft mechanic certificate that allowed him entry into sensitive areas in New York’s John F. Kennedy airport, as well as Newark International, Los Angeles International and Chicago-O’Hare. Unfortunately, this was not the first high-profile example of people using shipping containers to advance potentially dangerous ends. In 2004, Abdul Qadeer Khan, the father of Pakistan’s atomic bomb, confessed to smuggling nuclear equipment and technology to Libya, Iran and North Korea in a smuggling network that spanned 15 years. Khan purportedly shipped all of his nuclear materials inside containers.
If a shipping container could house an Al Qaeda operative and nuclear paraphernalia, could it also hold a "dirty bomb"? Could a terrorist stow a nuclear device in a container, ship it to one of the nation’s busiest ports, and then detonate that device by remote control upon arrival? The "nuke-in-a-box" scenario, which would have seemed far-fetched before September 11, now drives U.S. container security policy.
In 2002, U.S. Customs adopted The Container Security Initiative ("CSI"), a program designed to "extend [the United States'] zone of security outward," by stationing U.S. Customs agents in ports all over the world (with consent of the host) where they can work with officials to identify suspect containers and inspect them before they ever arrive on U.S. shores. CSI has been called a "hidden revolution," because it has quietly but radically altered the way international maritime trade is conducted. In the process, it has transformed the world trade system creating winners and losers. Next week, I want to explore who gains and who loses under the new CSI system. For a more detailed version of this post (and to preview next week’s arguments!) please visit my website.

(Cross posted at Conglomerate, a business-law-economics-society blog)

 
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